Geert Wilders’ decision to withdraw from the Schoof cabinet has sparked widespread criticism and isolation, leaving his coalition partners bewildered and his political future uncertain. The move, described as “rash,” “irresponsible,” and even a “betrayal,” has drawn condemnation from across the political spectrum, including from within his own former coalition and even from figures like Thierry Baudet, leader of the Forum for Democracy (FvD).
Wilders’ actions have left the VVD, NSC, and BBB parties in a state of shock, especially given the proximity to a crucial NATO summit and the collapse of the newly formed cabinet. This latest political maneuver has raised serious questions about Wilders’ reliability as a coalition partner and his capacity for leadership.
Despite the immediate fallout, Wilders is expected to weather this storm, relying on a solid base of support of around twenty seats. He is likely to capitalize on his image as a lone fighter against immigration and perceived threats to the Netherlands. The coming months will reveal whether he can regain the momentum that led to his party’s significant gains in the 2023 elections.
However, a major hurdle remains: securing viable coalition partners. His reputation for abruptly collapsing governments over contentious issues has made other parties wary of working with him. The NSC and BBB parties now face the risk of political decline as a result of their association with the PVV. Dilan Yesilgöz, leader of the VVD, who initially sought common ground with Wilders on asylum policy, is now left disappointed and frustrated.
The 2023 election victory gave Wilders an opportunity to broaden the PVV’s appeal and attract experienced individuals to strengthen the party’s administrative capabilities. Figures such as Ronald Plasterk and others initially joined, but the party has largely failed to evolve beyond Wilders’ singular leadership and control. The PVV has struggled to develop a deep bench of talent and build the internal structures necessary for sustained governance.
Many newly elected PVV MPs have remained relatively inactive, with some barely participating in debates or delivering speeches. This lack of engagement highlights the party’s failure to adequately support and integrate new members. The PVV’s understaffed operation, despite substantial financial resources, has also impacted the effectiveness of its ministerial team.
Furthermore, Wilders’ leadership style remains unchanged. He continues to operate as a solitary figure, making decisions unilaterally and fostering an atmosphere of uncertainty within the party. Examples include the swift selection and subsequent dismissal of Ronald Plasterk and Gidi Markuszower from key positions. Wilders’ unpredictable behavior and lack of trust have created a climate of speculation and instability within the PVV.
Looking ahead, Wilders’ path to becoming prime minister is unclear. The past governmental experience will not be an appealing prospect for future candidates. Inexperienced PVV administrators have faced attacks from their own political party. The key characteristic remains that Wilders’ will is law. He determines the course entirely on his own.