Denmark is facing a critical demographic challenge due to a rapidly declining birth rate, which has fallen from 1.7 children per woman to just under 1.5 since 2021. This trend has far-reaching consequences for various aspects of Danish society, including education, community life, the labor market, and political dynamics.
The declining birth rate is already impacting institutions that serve children and young people. Folk high schools, sports associations, and scout groups are competing for a shrinking pool of young individuals. This demographic shift is less noticeable in areas with high immigration rates, but its effects are becoming increasingly apparent elsewhere.
The shortage of children and young people puts pressure on schools and daycare institutions, potentially leading to closures and a negative spiral in local communities. This demographic challenge is intertwined with other issues, such as the divide between rural and urban areas, which has significantly contributed to political polarization.
The declining birth rate is exacerbating labor shortages. There are fewer people available to care for the elderly, raise children, and work in various sectors, including production and services. The aging population is further compounding this problem, as the large birth cohorts of the past are now reaching retirement age.
The business community’s focus on maximizing employee time and promoting career advancement over family life is contributing to the declining birth rate. While labor immigration may provide a short-term solution, it also poses its own challenges, including potential political polarization and cultural changes.
The demographic crisis has led to a focus on addressing its symptoms rather than its root cause: the low birth rate. The author argues that the key question is how to create a society where people choose to start families and have children. Addressing this question is crucial for reversing the current trend and ensuring a sustainable future for Denmark.