D66 is set to lead the search for a new governing coalition after final vote counts confirmed they cannot be overtaken by the PVV. This development is seen as positive, averting a potentially unproductive attempt led by the PVV.

The start of exploratory talks, initially scheduled promptly, has already been delayed by five days due to the unclear initial election results. This delay is unwelcome, given the already extended five-month period between the fall of the previous cabinet and the recent elections.

The current caretaker cabinet, significantly weakened and supported by only 26 seats in the new House of Representatives, has limited capacity. The deeply fragmented House, coupled with pre-election blockades, poses challenges to forming a stable government.

The VVD’s campaign tactics, which framed the center-left bloc as a threat, further complicate matters. There is a risk of a prolonged stalemate, reminiscent of the 2021 formation process. D66 may find itself reliant on the VVD’s willingness to compromise.

To avoid this scenario and potential political powerlessness, D66 may need to adopt an unconventional approach. This includes considering a minority cabinet comprising D66, the CDA, and a third party. A coalition agreement focused on key issues such as housing, healthcare, national security, the nitrogen crisis, and the European Migration Pact could garner support from various parties.